Prime Minister Justin Trudeau Liberals should be “exceptionally concerned” about the “very negative economic mood right now” in Canada, with potential for a recession in 2019, and the Conservatives’ attempts to paint Liberals as supporters of “unrestricted immigration,” as the combined effect could become a serious problem for the party in the next election.
“There’s a very negative economic mood right now in the country,” said Nik Nanos, president and CEO of Nanos Research in an interview with The Hill Times. “A sitting government presiding over a recession usually is not good news for the sitting government.”
According to the Nanos Research’s weekly rolling poll numbers released last week, the Liberals and the Conservatives were tied in a statistical dead heat. The numbers released on Dec. 7 indicate that the Conservatives had 34.8 per cent support nationally, followed closely by the Liberals with 34.1 per cent. The NDP had the support of 15.8 per cent, and the Green Party support was at 8.2 per cent.
In comparison, only about four weeks ago, the Liberals were leading the Conservatives by a margin of 12 points in the Nanos weekly tracking. According to the Nov. 9 numbers, the Liberals were leading the pack with 39.3 per cent support, followed by the Conservatives with 27.5 per cent support, the NDP had the support of 19.8 per cent, and the Green Party sat at 6.1 per cent.
Mr. Nanos attributed the “notable” drop in Liberal support to the psychological affect of the General Motors auto plant closing in Oshawa, Ont., last month; the low oil prices affecting the Alberta economy; and the slow pace of progress on the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion, on Canadians’ declining confidence on the state of the country’s economy.