Midterm Malaise

Midterm jitters? Predictions about the outcome of the midterms are few and far between, while polls appear to be all over the map.
Midterm jitters? Predictions about the outcome of the midterms are few and far between, while polls appear to be all over the map.

Polls and op-eds have arrived nonstop as the midterm elections close in. The genuine countdown is on. Yet despite the onslaught of survey numbers and deep thoughts, the findings are inconclusive. Grand predictions and confident consensus among pollsters and pundits about the outcome of the elections are scarce. And no wonder. They remember what happened in 2016 when things went awry and President Trump won the White House despite their expert opinions and intricate surveys.

Some journalists appear to have little sympathy.

“Blowing smoke: Sorry, pundits, but you have no clue what will happen on Tuesday,” wrote Vanity Fair columnist Peter Hamby.

“The myth of the election prediction wizard is no more,” observed Andrew Prokop, a columnist for Vox.

Things change.

Those pundits and pollsters are leery of issuing grandiose predictions at this point. Some might even admit they simply don’t know what to think.

And perhaps the polling apparatus itself is to blame.

“It’s typical. There’s always some confusion just prior to elections,” veteran pollster Patrick Caddell tells Inside the Beltway, pointing out that despite technology which has made polling nimble, it can be a challenge to get verified respondents.

“The refusal rates on polls is incredible,” says Mr. Caddell, who anecdotally cites a recent research effort which required 42,000 calls of inquiry to yield some 600 authentic respondents.

[Interesting Read]

See Also:

(1) Democrats traumatized by 2016 are having pre-midterms nightmares

(2) Trump, Republicans bank on expanding their Senate majority in final midterm sprint

(3) Ronna McDaniel says GOP can keep House: ‘Republicans have offered a record of results’

(4) Migrants Caravan: Some Reach Mexico City, Others Kidnapped In Puebla

(5) Kavanaugh report’s biggest bombshells: Grassley probe reveals details behind mistaken identity claims, more

(6) Obama mocks controversies over Clinton emails, migrant caravan in fiery final midterm campaign swing

(7) Republicans On Verge Of Historic Wins In House And Senate As Long Promised Democrat ‘Blue Wave’ Fizzles Out Amid Late GOP Rally

(8) The Trouble with Polling

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Donald J. Trump’s election in 2016 frightened the Democrats. After a mere two years in office America rising from the ashes of the Obama years like a Phoenix has terrified the Democrats and their supporters. Trump is not on the ballot today? Au contraire. Make no mistake about it. His is the ONLY name on every single ballot. Don’t believe me? Just ask Democrat.

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In 2016 Democrats voted to remove God from their platform. They loudly booed God. Fast forward to 2018. In stark contrast and after a woman collapsed last evening during a Trump rally Republicans did this. So America, which party are you voting for today? The answer couldn’t be any clearer.