Massive Fail

Events are turning me into a radical skeptic. I no longer believe what I read, unless what I am reading is an empirically verifiable account of the past. I no longer have confidence in polls, because it has become impossible to separate the signal from the noise. What I have heard from the media and political class over the last several years has been so spectacularly proven wrong by events, again and again, that I sometimes wonder why I continue to read two newspapers a day before spending time following journalists on Twitter. Habit, I guess. A sense of professional obligation, I suppose. Maybe boredom.

The fact is that almost the entirety of what one reads in the paper or on the web is speculation. The writer isn’t telling you what happened, he is offering an interpretation of what happened, or offering a projection of the future. The best scenario is that these theories are novel, compelling, informed, and based on reporting and research. But that is rarely the case. More often the interpretations of current events, and prophesies of future ones, are merely the products of groupthink or dogma or emotions or wish-casting, memos to friends written by 27-year-olds who, in the words of Ben Rhodes, “literally know nothing.” There was a time when newspapers printed astrology columns. They no longer need to. The pseudoscience is on the front page.

Nor are the empty conjectures and worthless hypotheses limited to Donald Trump. Yes, pretty much the entire world, myself included, assumed he would lose to Hillary Clinton. Indeed, a not-insignificant segment of the political class, both Democrat and Republican, thought the Republicans would not only lose the presidency but also the House and Senate. Oops! I remember when, as the clock reached midnight on November 8 and it became clear Trump would be the forty-fifth president, a friend called. “Are we just wrong about everything?” he asked. Perhaps we were. But at least we had the capacity to admit our fallibility.

Read it all…

See Also:

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Trump Derangement Syndrome Has Become the New Plague

Dems begin to panic as Trump set to transform federal judiciary

New Biography Punctures The Myths Surrounding Barack Obama

Aftermath Of Alexandria Shooting Showed Left’s Bullying At Its Worst

New study: millions of non-citizens may have voted in 2012

Progressives moving in on conservative states in droves

Poll: Voters Are Sick and Tired of Trump-Russia Probes

Anger Privilege

State to ‘do what it takes’ to end church’s prolife ministry

The party’s over and no place to call home

Planned Parenthood’s role in Georgia race for House raises ethical questions

Sanders: ‘I Will Do All I Can to Defeat Trump-Ryan Healthcare Bill’

Sanders lawyered up in federal probe of Burlington College

Senate Judiciary Chairman Grassley: Chuck Schumer Knew Trump Wasn’t Under Investigation but Said He Was Anyway

California Attacks Texas with Travel Ban over Alleged LGBT Discrimination

Senate announces probe of Loretta Lynch behavior in 2016 election

Caught on tape: Dem official says he’s ‘glad’ Scalise got shot

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So who is going to confront Hillary on this issue? No one! The drive-by media are completely oblivious to any and all Clinton failings, his or hers. And she will not talk to Fox or any other media source who may ask a tough question. The ultimate losers are the American voters who are deprived of answers to key questions.